US homebuilder confidence fell sharply this month to its lowest level in a year, as mortgage rates near 7%, labor shortages, and rising material costs further dented hopes for a recovery in the nation's sluggish housing market.
Data released by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and Wells Fargo showed the housing market index declined 3 points to 32, the lowest reading since September 2025 and matching the weakest level seen since late 2022. The index also came in below the median estimate of 34 from economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
A reading below 50 indicates more builders view market conditions as poor rather than good, and the index has remained below that threshold for more than two consecutive years.
Beyond weak foot traffic from prospective buyers, "builders continue to face rising material costs, higher gasoline and diesel prices, and an ongoing labor shortage," said Bill Owens, NAHB chairman and a homebuilder from Ohio, in prepared remarks. "Builders in some markets are reporting that heightened immigration enforcement is causing legal workers to be reluctant to show up at job sites."
Among the index's subcomponents, the gauge for future sales expectations fell to its lowest level since early 2023, while the current sales reading also declined. The metric tracking prospective buyer traffic held steady at a low level.
This downbeat outlook underscores the challenges confronting US homebuilders. With little relief in sight from elevated borrowing costs for potential buyers, there appears to be scant catalyst to turn the tide. Consumer confidence sitting near one of its lowest levels on record further diminishes the odds of a market turnaround.