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Investors Need to Learn the Difference Between Uncertainty and Risk in Today's Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2667629369","media":"Dow Jones","labels":[],"top":-1,"itemType":null,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2667629369?lang=en_us&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-16 01:09","pubTimestamp":1789492140,"startTime":"0","endTime":"0","summary":"Litowitz: There is a big difference, and yes, confusing them can cost investors a great deal of money. Risk is when you know the possibilities and the probabilities. Think of a fair dice. I know it will land on one through six, and I know each has a one-in-six chance. Casinos operate this way. Over enough rolls, the house wins because the model is known.On the other end is the black swan - you do not know the possibilities or the probabilities. COVID was that. It came from nowhere.But there is a huge middle ground that gets lost, and it is the most important one for investors right now: What if I know the possibilities but not the probabilities?Litowitz: The first thing to recognize is that it is even more dangerous to say, \"I do not know how to navigate uncertainty, so I will just use my old model.\" That is a terrible idea. You know the world has changed, and you are replaying a model that no longer fits.My book describes three phases. 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The Bank of England has been urged to hold interest rates even as inflation is set to peak higher than previously expected due to the continuation of the Iran war, City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee has said.The Bank should leave interest rates unchanged at 3.75 per cent, according to most top economists in the mirror organisation, although some warned the case for waiting on a hike is “thin”.City AM’s Shadow MPC was split 6-3 among those calling for no change in interest rates and those calling for monetary policy to be tightened.“The argument that policymakers need to look past “temporary shocks” is wearing increasingly thin,” he said.Anna Leach – Institute of Directors, chief economistVote: Raise 25 basis pointsLeach said her vote came down to a “close call”. 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Coherent, Intel, Lumentum, Micron, and Sandisk all rose ahead of the opening bell.Shares of software developers were struggling as investors locked in some profit following the previous session's rally. CrowdStrike, Palantir, and Workday all slipped in premarket trading.Crypto exchange Coinbase dropped 4.1%, trading platform Robinhood declined 2.2%, and Bitcoin investor Strategy fell 3.5% as hopes of the Clarity Act passing this year faded. The Senate is set to vote on the crypto regulation bill on Tuesday afternoon.Shares of energy majors were rising as benchmark oil prices rallied. Halliburton added 1% and Occidental Petroleum climbed 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